Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.130013 3.671231 4.247635 4.904081 5.627831 6.398407 7.277807
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.205337 2.914710 3.729805 4.722232 5.884541 7.189909 8.753749
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.580393 2.355293 3.313724 4.554070 6.084735 7.881363 10.118349
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.183928 1.985326 3.048118 4.500719 6.375236 8.656714 11.585859
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.887900 1.680702 2.807242 4.427998 6.605403 9.340572 12.944705
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.745742 1.564273 2.795003 4.638060 7.190429 10.471806 14.877176
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.590372 1.390452 2.669906 4.667862 7.521128 11.274444 16.405686
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.515390 1.334112 2.708626 4.924335 8.161222 12.490417 18.485985
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.443384 1.265805 2.715760 5.126451 8.724975 13.613074 20.463978
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.365541 1.166321 2.656100 5.215601 9.122679 14.514545 22.162993
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.282926 1.032825 2.518094 5.165395 9.306498 15.119290 23.470781
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.233608 0.959858 2.476344 5.261277 9.703047 16.021227 25.188802
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.188122 0.883700 2.422059 5.337229 10.080397 16.918708 26.939652
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.134972 0.763768 2.264151 5.222786 10.156959 17.388163 28.111870
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.092393 0.650918 2.100045 5.079719 10.175985 17.768695 29.162446
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.065767 0.574602 2.000027 5.040154 10.352745 18.377614 30.538392
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044394 0.500459 1.890181 4.970101 10.471887 18.898822 31.794296
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.037974 0.492204 1.937424 5.201884 11.096082 20.184646 34.157677
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027028 0.447958 1.886370 5.236250 11.387824 20.973036 35.817009
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.023956 0.449966 1.956367 5.514895 12.100587 22.411267 38.431335
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.019977 0.441485 1.996478 5.733964 12.715860 23.709408 40.857613
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.014581 0.413647 1.978096 5.830559 13.120835 24.690112 42.833204
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008658 0.365468 1.891236 5.776430 13.258731 25.258208 44.210840